Voter interacting systems applied to Chinese stock markets

نویسندگان

  • Tiansong Wang
  • Jun Wang
  • Junhuan Zhang
  • Wen Fang
چکیده

Applying the theory of statistical physics systems – the voter model, a random stock price model is modeled and studied in this paper, where the voter model is a continuous time Markov process. In this price model, for the different parameters values of the intensity λ, the lattice dimension d, the initial density θ, and the multivariate set (θ, λ), we discuss and analyze the statistical behaviors of the price model. Moreover, we investigate the power-law distributions, the long-term memory of returns and the volatility clustering phenomena for the Chinese stock indices. The database is from the indices of Shanghai and Shenzhen in the 6-year period from July 2002 to June 2008. Further, the comparisons of the empirical research and the simulation data are given. © 2011 IMACS. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Statistical Analysis and Data Analysis of Stock Market by Interacting Particle Models

The statistical analysis of Chinese stock market fluctuations modeled by the interacting particle systems has been done in this paper. The contact model and voter model of the interacting particle systems are presented in this paper, where they are the continuous time Markov processes. One interpretation of contact model is as a model for the spread of an infection. One interpretation of voter ...

متن کامل

Analytical Valuation of Contingent Claims by Stochastic Interacting Systems for Stock Market

In the present paper, by applying the theory of stochastic processes and interacting particle systems and models, including stopping time theory and stochastic voter model, we model a financial stock price model that contains two types of investors, and we use this financial model to describe the behavior and fluctuations of a stock price process in a stock market. In the financial model, besid...

متن کامل

Entropy and Recurrence Measures of a Financial Dynamic System by an Interacting Voter System

A financial time series agent-based model is reproduced and investigated by the statistical physics system, the finite-range interacting voter system. The voter system originally describes the collective behavior of voters who constantly update their positions on a particular topic, which is a continuous-time Markov process. In the proposed model, the fluctuations of stock price changes are att...

متن کامل

Cross-correlation in financial dynamics

– To investigate the universal structure of interactions in financial dynamics, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price returns of the Chinese stock market, in comparison with those of the American and Indian stock markets. As an important emerging market, the Chinese market exhibits much stronger correlations than the developed markets. In the Chinese market, the interactions betwee...

متن کامل

Efficiency Frontier for Chinese Stock Markets under Influence of Financial Crises

Financial crises, like Asian financial crisis in 1997 and credit crunch from USA in 2007, have huge influence worldwide. For the importance and uniqueness of China’s stock market, it is interesting and attractive to research it under influence of financial crises. The purpose for this research is to find out the influence of financial crises on Chinese stock market and focus on efficiency front...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Mathematics and Computers in Simulation

دوره 81  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2011